ACR Messina vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MES
3 - 1
FCI
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ISO
1 - 8
MES
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MES
5 - 0
PPI
91%
7%
2%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
MES
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MES
4 - 4
PAL
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 1
CIT
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
CIT
43%
23%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCS
1 - 0
CIT
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CIT
2 - 1
CAV
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
POM
1 - 1
CIT
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |