ACR Messina vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
AKR
3 - 3
MES
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
JUS
2 - 1
MES
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FCC
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
MES
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
FIA
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
USF
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
1 - 2
CAS
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 0
AKR
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |