ACR Messina vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
MES
0 - 0
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
PAL
1 - 0
MES
67%
19%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
MES
1 - 0
FCC
48%
22%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
MES
2 - 0
ASS
46%
28%
27%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
MES
3 - 0
VER
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
LEC
2 - 1
MOD
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
LEC
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
VER
2 - 0
LEC
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
VNZ
3 - 1
LEC
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
LEC
3 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |