ACR Messina vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MES
3 - 0
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
AKR
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
76%
18%
7%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
JUS
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
AKR
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
BEN
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
MAR
73%
19%
8%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
USF
3 - 2
BEN
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAT
1 - 3
BEN
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |