ACR Messina vs Granata 1924 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FCI
0 - 0
MES
59%
23%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
USV
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
MES
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MES
2 - 1
ROC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
ACI
1 - 0
MES
27%
27%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Granata 1924
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
AEE
1 - 3
USV
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
AEE
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AEE
3 - 2
ROC
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 2
AEE
31%
24%
46%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AEE
5 - 0
GEL
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |