ACR Messina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SAM
3 - 1
MES
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
REG
3 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
MES
1 - 3
ACM
16%
25%
59%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LAZ
1 - 0
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
CAG
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
EMP
2 - 0
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
TOR
1 - 2
ATL
35%
28%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 2
FIO
35%
29%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |