ACR Messina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
MES
2 - 0
BRE
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 0
MES
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
INT
5 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 1
SIE
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2005 |
JUV
3 - 3
ATL
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 0
FIO
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 1
UDI
27%
26%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |