ACR Messina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
SAL
0 - 3
MES
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 0
MES
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MES
3 - 2
AVE
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
CAG
1 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
CAT
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PES
0 - 0
ATL
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 2
VER
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CAG
5 - 1
ATL
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |