ACR Messina vs Santa Maria Cilento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MES
2 - 1
DAT
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
MES
24%
28%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MES
5 - 1
ROC
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
GEL
1 - 1
MES
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
SMC
38%
24%
37%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
DAT
1 - 1
SMC
44%
23%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 2
LUC
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 1
SMC
18%
21%
62%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
PAT
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |