ACR Messina vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 0
MES
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MES
2 - 1
NOC
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 0
MES
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MES
3 - 2
GIU
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MES
2 - 0
PAL
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 2
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 4
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 2
POR
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
NOC
3 - 3
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |