ACR Messina vs Sancataldese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 1
MES
41%
23%
35%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MES
3 - 2
EBO
78%
14%
9%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AEE
1 - 1
MES
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
FCI
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ACP
2 - 3
MES
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sancataldese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASD
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 0
SAN
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
ACI
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GEL
1 - 1
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
GEL
22%
20%
57%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |