ACR Messina vs ASD Sambiase analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACR
2 - 1
MES
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
NIS
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MES
4 - 2
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EBO
3 - 1
MES
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 4
ACP
61%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
ASD
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACI
4 - 1
ASD
37%
28%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
NIS
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
REA
2 - 2
ASD
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |