ACR Messina vs Rotonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
MES
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROC
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MES
2 - 2
ASD
52%
21%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
BAR
10%
21%
69%
|
22 | 68 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
ROT
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
ROT
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 2
FCI
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
ROT
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |