ACR Messina vs Biancavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MES
3 - 2
LIC
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ROC
3 - 1
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
2 - 0
CCI
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Biancavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
BIA
4 - 3
CSA
32%
22%
46%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SSC
3 - 0
BIA
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
BIA
1 - 4
HYR
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 0
BIA
93%
6%
1%
|
29 | 75 | 46 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BIA
1 - 0
PAL
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |