ACR Messina vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 1
MES
47%
28%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 3
JUS
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
MES
85%
12%
3%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MES
1 - 1
PAG
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
1 - 0
PAG
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
3 - 4
RAA
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
ASM
79%
16%
5%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 2
SAL
17%
25%
58%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 0
ASM
33%
29%
38%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |