ACR Messina vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
18.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
MES
1 - 1
MOD
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
SER
2 - 3
MES
41%
25%
35%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 1
MES
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
JPA
2 - 0
MES
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
DOM
2 - 0
MES
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
CAT
2 - 1
ANC
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1950 |
ANC
1 - 2
SPE
55%
22%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
ANC
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1946 |
ANC
1 - 2
BAR
29%
23%
49%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1946 |
LIV
4 - 0
ANC
82%
11%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |