ACR Messina vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
MES
2 - 0
VNZ
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
ROM
1 - 0
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
MES
2 - 1
TRE
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
MES
0 - 0
PIS
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
SIR
2 - 1
REG
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
REG
3 - 1
PIS
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
REG
0 - 0
ASS
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 1
REG
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
TRE
3 - 0
REG
60%
21%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |