Messancy vs Sartoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RES
4 - 2
MES
37%
22%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MES
4 - 1
LAR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MES
3 - 0
CHA
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ERE
1 - 0
MES
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MES
1 - 0
LOR
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Sartoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
4 - 1
VAU
72%
16%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RES
1 - 3
SAR
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LAR
1 - 0
SAR
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 2
LIB
40%
23%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EHM
2 - 2
SAR
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |