Messancy vs Lorraine Arlon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
EBE
0 - 0
MES
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LIB
4 - 0
MES
61%
20%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EHM
0 - 1
MES
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VAU
0 - 2
MES
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MES
4 - 0
NOP
82%
11%
7%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lorraine Arlon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 1
OPP
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 2
FLO
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
CHA
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
EBE
1 - 2
LOR
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 1
SAR
62%
19%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |