Messancy vs Gouvy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
63.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
7º
47
1º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 0
MES
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
STO
2 - 0
MES
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
GOU
1 - 1
MES
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
MES
1 - 3
RCL
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LAR
0 - 2
MES
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
STA
3 - 1
GOU
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 7
RIC
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
ROC
3 - 0
GOU
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GOU
0 - 4
HER
28%
24%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |