Messancy vs Gouvy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 1
MES
44%
23%
32%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
OPP
5 - 0
MES
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 1
MES
36%
24%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MES
1 - 1
VAU
43%
22%
34%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MES
4 - 0
LAR
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 1
MES
44%
23%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GOU
0 - 2
VAU
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 0
GOU
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GOU
2 - 0
MOR
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MEI
2 - 1
GOU
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |