Messancy vs Bomal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 2
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MEI
1 - 2
MES
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MES
1 - 1
LIB
23%
22%
54%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MES
1 - 0
VAU
43%
22%
35%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LAR
4 - 0
MES
72%
16%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bomal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 2
BOM
50%
22%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
OPP
0 - 4
BOM
28%
22%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BOM
5 - 2
VAU
76%
14%
10%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOM
3 - 1
GOU
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
EBE
3 - 1
BOM
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |