Messancy vs Bertrix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
69.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
MES
0 - 5
SOL
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MES
0 - 2
MEI
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 0
MES
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
MES
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MES
2 - 3
HAL
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bertrix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AYW
3 - 1
BER
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BER
3 - 2
HUY
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CLI
2 - 3
BER
56%
20%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BER
0 - 3
RES
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
RIC
3 - 2
BER
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |