Mesquita FC vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
MES
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
AME
2 - 0
MES
74%
16%
9%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
MES
1 - 2
CAB
15%
23%
62%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MES
0 - 1
TIG
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SER
5 - 2
AME
43%
23%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BON
1 - 0
SER
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
CER
21%
24%
55%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 0
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
SER
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |