Mesquita FC vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
MES
3 - 0
TFC
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TIG
7 - 0
MES
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CER
0 - 3
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MES
0 - 1
RBC
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MES
2 - 2
BAR
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 3
TIG
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 1
SER
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
SER
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SER
1 - 0
CER
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
RBC
0 - 1
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |