Mesquita FC vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesquita FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
MES
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MES
1 - 1
TFC
47%
24%
28%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
BON
3 - 0
MES
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MES
0 - 2
IFC
45%
25%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
MES
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 0
SER
47%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SER
2 - 3
IFC
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 1
SER
51%
22%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SER
5 - 2
ITA
37%
24%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
SEC
1 - 0
SER
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |