Mesão Frio vs Valpaços GD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
60.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mesão Frio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CER
1 - 0
MES
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MES
2 - 2
RIB
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATE
3 - 2
MES
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
MON
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REG
3 - 0
MES
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Valpaços GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 1
VPE
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FON
0 - 3
VAL
10%
17%
73%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NOU
2 - 1
VAL
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
CER
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 1
VAL
45%
23%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |