Mes Sungun vs Darya Caspian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Sungun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MSV
3 - 1
SHE
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SBA
1 - 1
MSV
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SMK
1 - 0
MSV
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
MSV
0 - 3
FAJ
29%
28%
44%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
KHO
2 - 0
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Darya Caspian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
DBF
0 - 2
SAI
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
DBF
0 - 3
CHA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
DBF
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
DBF
0 - 0
SHA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
EMO
2 - 2
DBF
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |