Mes Shahr Babak vs Shams Azar Qazvin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
13º
6º
70
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
88% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 2 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Shahr Babak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
VPN
0 - 0
MSB
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MSB
0 - 0
SAI
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
EKU
0 - 0
MSB
39%
30%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
AKF
0 - 0
MSB
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
MSB
1 - 0
SHF
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
SAQ
3 - 1
AST
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
MOG
1 - 0
SAQ
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
SAQ
2 - 1
SHF
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
EMO
0 - 0
SAQ
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
SAQ
5 - 0
PAR
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |