Mes Shahr Babak vs Shahrdari Hamedan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
13º
6º
28
4º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
79% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
95% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 36 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
88% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
88% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 2 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Shahr Babak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
MSB
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MSB
0 - 0
AST
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
MSB
3 - 0
EKU
45%
28%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
AST
1 - 1
MSB
41%
29%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
MSB
0 - 0
FCV
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shahrdari Hamedan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 0
VPN
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
EKU
0 - 0
SHF
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 1
SHF
45%
28%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
SHF
0 - 0
EMO
39%
27%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
SAQ
1 - 2
SHF
47%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |