Mes Shahr Babak vs Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
24.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Shahr Babak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
DAM
1 - 0
MSB
27%
32%
41%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
MSB
1 - 1
NAF
42%
29%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
NIR
0 - 0
MSB
23%
31%
47%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
MSB
1 - 1
SNF
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
BES
0 - 1
MSB
24%
30%
46%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
FCA
1 - 0
FAJ
29%
30%
40%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
PAL
0 - 1
FCA
22%
26%
53%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 1
FCA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
AST
55%
24%
20%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
SMK
0 - 0
FCA
50%
28%
22%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |