Mes Rafsanjan vs Shams Azar Qazvin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
10º
39
5º
13º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
MES
1 - 1
NAS
58%
26%
17%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 0
MES
27%
30%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 2
MES
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 1
MES
25%
30%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
MES
1 - 2
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shams Azar Qazvin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SAQ
1 - 2
SPF
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
EKU
1 - 1
SAQ
34%
30%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
ARM
1 - 2
SAQ
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
SAQ
2 - 1
KFM
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
CTF
0 - 2
SAQ
24%
28%
49%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |