Mes Rafsanjan vs Persepolis Tehran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
10º
68
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
EKU
2 - 1
MES
21%
28%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
MES
1 - 4
MAL
60%
25%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MES
0 - 2
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
GOH
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Persepolis Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
NAS
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
SAQ
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
EKU
2 - 2
PER
17%
27%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
EST
40%
29%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PER
1 - 0
SPF
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |