Mes Rafsanjan vs Malavan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
8º
14º
10º
41
5º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SEP
4 - 1
MES
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
MES
0 - 2
SAN
64%
23%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
GOH
2 - 0
MES
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MES
3 - 0
FOO
52%
28%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PAY
0 - 1
MES
26%
30%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Malavan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 2
SAQ
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SPF
0 - 1
MAL
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 1
EKU
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
SEP
2 - 3
MAL
74%
18%
8%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 0
PER
20%
27%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |