Mes Novin vs Vanpars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Novin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
MNK
3 - 0
OXI
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
SGY
1 - 0
MNK
62%
23%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
MNK
3 - 0
FCI
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BON
1 - 0
MNK
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MNK
0 - 2
SBA
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vanpars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
VAN
2 - 1
SGY
14%
22%
64%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
BON
1 - 2
VAN
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 1
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
FLD
0 - 0
VAN
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 1
OGH
31%
26%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |