Mes Kerman vs Mes Rafsanjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
30%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
42.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
15º
15º
47
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
SMK
63%
25%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SMK
2 - 0
SAN
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AAK
2 - 0
SMK
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SMK
0 - 1
SPF
43%
29%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOO
0 - 0
SMK
57%
28%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Rafsanjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
MES
0 - 0
SEP
32%
27%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
NAF
0 - 0
MES
26%
29%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
MES
46%
28%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
MES
1 - 0
TRA
42%
29%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
MES
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |