Merw vs Köpetdag Aşgabat analysis


56	ELO	54
2.2%	Tilt	-9.3%
6696º	General ELO ranking	8369º
8º	Country ELO ranking	9º
ELO win probability

47.7%

Merw

24.4%

Draw

28%

Köpetdag Aşgabat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

47.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%

24.4%

Draw

0-0

5.8%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.4%

28%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-61%

-81%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
20 May. 2016	YED 2 - 1 MER 49% 25% 26%	55	55
15 May. 2016	MER 2 - 1 AHA 45% 25% 30%	55	55
07 May. 2016	MER 1 - 1 AGA 45% 25% 29%	55	55
29 Apr. 2016	MER 0 - 2 AGA 43% 25% 32%	55	55
23 Apr. 2016	BFT 0 - 0 MER 52% 24% 24%	55	55

Matches

Köpetdag Aşgabat

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
21 May. 2016	KAS 0 - 1 BFT 47% 25% 28%	55	55
13 May. 2016	YED 3 - 0 KAS 47% 25% 29%	55	55
29 Apr. 2016	AHA 3 - 0 KAS 50% 24% 26%	55	55
23 Apr. 2016	KAS 4 - 1 DAO 40% 24% 36%	55	55
20 Apr. 2016	ALT 4 - 1 KAS 51% 24% 25%	55	55