Merw vs Httu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
GAA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
BAG
0 - 1
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MER
4 - 1
ALT
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
DAO
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Httu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HTT
4 - 1
BAG
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 1
HTT
48%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
DAO
1 - 1
HTT
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HTT
2 - 1
AHA
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
AGA
0 - 2
HTT
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |