Merw vs Httu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BAG
1 - 1
MER
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
DAO
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
AGA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
TAL
2 - 5
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Httu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HTT
0 - 0
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
HTT
0 - 0
AHA
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
HTT
1 - 1
ALT
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
DAO
2 - 4
HTT
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2009 |
HTT
3 - 2
AGA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |