Merw vs Balkan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
HTT
2 - 3
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
DAO
43%
24%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAG
1 - 6
MER
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
AHA
1 - 0
MER
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Balkan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
AGA
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 0
BAL
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
TAL
0 - 0
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
3 - 1
HTT
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DAO
1 - 0
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |