Merw vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MER
0 - 1
ALT
20%
23%
58%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ARK
9 - 0
MER
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MER
2 - 0
AGA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 1
MER
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
KAS
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
EFT
2 - 3
BFT
11%
18%
71%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
BFT
1 - 0
KAS
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 2
BFT
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BFT
0 - 1
AHA
37%
24%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 1
BFT
55%
22%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |