Merw vs Nebitçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
AGA
31%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
EFT
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AHA
3 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MER
4 - 2
KAS
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nebitçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2019 |
BFT
1 - 2
ALT
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AGA
1 - 1
BFT
49%
26%
26%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BFT
1 - 0
AGA
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
EFT
1 - 0
BFT
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BFT
1 - 0
KAS
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |