Merw vs Bagtyýarlyk Lebap analysis


56	ELO	54
-2.7%	Tilt	-4.8%
6692º	General ELO ranking	26819º
8º	Country ELO ranking	16º
ELO win probability

45.2%

Merw

25.3%

Draw

29.5%

Bagtyýarlyk Lebap

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

45.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%

25.3%

Draw

0-0

6.6%

1-1

12%

2-2

5.4%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.3%

29.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Merw

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
04 Jul. 2013	MER 1 - 2 BAL 47% 26% 27%	55	55
12 Jun. 2013	MER 2 - 3 NIS 47% 25% 28%	55	55
08 Jun. 2013	TAL 1 - 4 MER 51% 24% 25%	55	55
04 Jun. 2013	MER 0 - 0 ALT 46% 26% 29%	55	55
01 Jun. 2013	AGA 0 - 0 MER 45% 27% 29%	55	55

Matches

Bagtyýarlyk Lebap

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
27 Jun. 2013	BAG 0 - 1 BAL 46% 26% 29%	55	55
19 Jun. 2013	BAG 3 - 3 NIS 46% 25% 29%	55	55
12 Jun. 2013	BAL 1 - 0 BAG 48% 24% 28%	55	55
08 Jun. 2013	BAG 3 - 0 DAO 43% 25% 32%	55	55
31 May. 2013	TAL 2 - 1 BAG 47% 24% 29%	55	55