Merw vs Arkadag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
54%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 1
MER
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
AGA
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AHA
2 - 0
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 0
MER
76%
15%
10%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arkadag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 1
KAS
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
AGA
0 - 3
ARK
24%
22%
54%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 1
AHA
52%
22%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 1
BFT
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARK
5 - 1
ALT
51%
22%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |