Merw vs Arkadag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+128%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
AGA
3 - 0
MER
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
EFT
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MER
1 - 0
AGA
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
AHA
5 - 1
MER
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arkadag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ARK
6 - 0
EFT
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
KAS
1 - 5
ARK
27%
23%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARK
7 - 1
AGA
66%
18%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
AHA
0 - 4
ARK
46%
23%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BFT
0 - 4
ARK
35%
25%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |