Merw vs Altyn Asyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
AGA
2 - 0
MER
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
MER
0 - 1
AHA
17%
21%
62%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
BFT
1 - 1
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
MER
1 - 8
ARK
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 0
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
BFT
2 - 2
ALT
21%
22%
57%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
AGA
0 - 1
ALT
21%
22%
56%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
AHA
2 - 0
ALT
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
0 - 3
ALT
17%
21%
62%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 0
BFT
73%
15%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |