Merw vs Altyn Asyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2019 |
MER
1 - 2
AGA
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
KAS
2 - 2
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
BFT
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
AGA
31%
27%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
EFT
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
AGA
2 - 1
ALT
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2019 |
EFT
0 - 2
ALT
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 1
EFT
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 0
KHU
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
AHA
2 - 2
ALT
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |