Merw vs Altyn Asyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
0 - 0
MER
55%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
MER
2 - 5
AHA
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
KAS
2 - 0
MER
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
EFT
0 - 0
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
AGA
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AHA
1 - 0
ALT
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 1
APR
67%
17%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 2
BFT
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
APR
2 - 2
ALT
10%
13%
77%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 0
EFT
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |