Merw vs Altyn Asyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MER
4 - 0
DAO
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
AHA
1 - 2
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
AGA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
MER
5 - 2
AGA
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 2
BAG
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 0
GAA
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 0
DAO
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
AHA
0 - 4
ALT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |