Merw vs Altyn Asyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
DAO
2 - 1
MER
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
AGA
2 - 2
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
AGA
2 - 4
MER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
TAL
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
BFT
0 - 1
MER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Altyn Asyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 3
BFT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
ALT
1 - 5
HTT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2009 |
AGA
2 - 1
ALT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
ALT
0 - 1
BAG
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
DAO
0 - 1
ALT
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |